Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 10.292460 11.389217 12.566183 13.925242 15.453887 17.123058 19.087605
2025-09-28 8.481404 9.972488 11.686471 13.811052 16.385774 19.419865 23.287853
2025-10-05 7.476467 9.256267 11.426195 14.287268 17.991104 22.665713 29.078217
2025-10-12 6.693988 8.661842 11.186003 14.698859 19.520776 25.994482 35.491865
2025-10-19 5.967464 8.018530 10.766702 14.775291 20.568954 28.788427 41.604146
2025-10-26 5.324264 7.391516 10.268450 14.641827 21.259324 31.125264 47.387210
2025-11-02 4.781546 6.831880 9.782826 14.437629 21.778989 33.231807 53.105743
2025-11-09 4.319659 6.332614 9.318455 14.188471 22.165395 35.140932 58.764193
2025-11-16 3.945705 5.922126 8.936177 14.006908 22.611375 37.170310 64.917481
2025-11-23 3.645979 5.593538 8.641556 13.921280 23.186018 39.464997 71.895491
2025-11-30 3.466975 5.436225 8.599021 14.240786 24.483258 43.188159 82.197178
2025-12-07 3.227850 5.157850 8.328166 14.130538 24.985139 45.499493 90.077922
2025-12-14 2.974648 4.839632 7.969775 13.841946 25.150577 47.250072 97.258103
2025-12-21 2.777065 4.599192 7.723239 13.729988 25.639218 49.712174 106.483249
2025-12-28 2.688142 4.539012 7.787117 14.203824 27.342558 54.922181 123.067311
2026-01-04 2.596075 4.464601 7.816965 14.613118 28.966863 60.219962 141.053621
2026-01-11 2.466919 4.311731 7.687028 14.689278 29.895514 64.119202 156.412995
2026-01-18 2.323252 4.120314 7.466981 14.556820 30.349787 66.993861 169.727947
2026-01-25 2.184133 3.926635 7.225847 14.354032 30.618343 69.465410 182.509484
2026-02-01 2.052086 3.736621 6.976101 14.106545 30.751304 71.623235 194.908413
2026-02-08 1.938266 3.573713 6.767164 13.926190 31.019311 74.166177 209.095226
2026-02-15 1.843217 3.440939 6.608570 13.841132 31.506810 77.362353 226.146360
2026-02-22 1.793983 3.396007 6.626975 14.158549 33.035572 83.625855 254.905194